An interrupted time-series analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations for vascular events in three Canadian provinces

Background — COVID-19 infection is associated with a pro-coagulable state, thrombosis, and cardiovascular events. However, its impact on population-based rates of vascular events is less well understood. We studied temporal trends in hospitalizations for stroke and myocardial infarction in 3 Canadian provinces (Alberta, Ontario, and Nova Scotia) between 2014 and 2022.

Methods — Linked administrative data from each province were used to identify admissions for ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral venous thrombosis, and myocardial infarction. Event rates per 100,000/quarter, standardized to the 2016 Canadian population, were calculated. We assessed changes from quarterly rates pre-pandemic (2014-2020), compared to rates in the pandemic period (2020-2022), using interrupted time-series analysis with a jump discontinuity at pandemic onset. Age group– and sex-stratified analyses also were performed.

Results — We identified 162,497 strokes and 243,182 myocardial infarctions. At pandemic onset, no significant step change in strokesper 100,000/quarter was observed in any of the 3 provinces. During the pandemic, stroke rates were stable in Alberta and Ontario, but they increased in Nova Scotia (0.44 per 100,000/quarter, P = 0.004). At pandemic onset, a significant step decrease occurred in myocardial infarctions per 100,000/quarter in Alberta (4.72, P < 0.001) and Ontario (4.84, P < 0.001), but not in Nova Scotia. During the pandemic, myocardial infarctions per 100,000/quarter decreased in Alberta (–0.34, P = 0.01), but they remained stable in Ontario and Nova Scotia. No consistent patterns by age group or sex were noted.

Conclusions — Hospitalization rates for stroke or myocardial infarction across 3 Canadian provinces did not increase substantially during the first 2 years of the pandemic. Continued surveillance is warranted as the virus becomes endemic.