The performance of marginal structural models for estimating risk differences and relative risks using weighted univariate generalized linear models
Austin PC. Stat Methods Med Res. 2024; Apr 24 [Epub ahead of print].
Background — Early hospital readmission (EHR) is associated with morbidity, mortality, and significant healthcare costs. However, trends over time in EHR events in kidney transplant recipients have not been examined. We conducted a population-based cohort study using linked healthcare databases from Ontario, Canada to determine whether the EHR incidence has changed from 2002 to 2014 in kidney transplant recipients.
Methods — We defined EHR as an unplanned admission for any reason to an acute care hospital within 30 days of being discharged from the hospital for transplantation; admissions for elective procedures were excluded.
Results — We included 5437 kidney transplant recipients. More recently transplanted recipients (2011 to 2014 vs. 2002 to 2004) were older and more likely to have coronary artery disease. A total of 1128 (20.7%) kidney transplant recipients experienced an EHR. There was no trend in EHR across eras with a 30-day cumulative incidence of 23.0%, 21.4%, 18.4%, and 21.0% (P for trend =0.197) for the years 2002 to 2004, 2005 to 2007, 2008 to 2010, and 2011 to 2014, respectively. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, we found no association between era of transplant and EHR. When examining variation in EHR across the 6 adult transplant centers we found the 30-day cumulative incidence varied significantly from 15.5% to 27.1% (P<0.001).
Conclusions — One in 5 kidney transplant recipients will experience an EHR; however, an increase in EHR over time has not been observed despite increasing recipient age and comorbidities.
Naylor KL, Knoll GA, Allen B, Li AH, Garg AX, Lam NN, McCallum MK, Kim SJ. Transplantation. 2018; 102(4):e171-9. Epub 2017 Dec 29.
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