Development of an electronic medical record-based score for heart failure prediction in cancer survivors
Soh CH, Nguyen L, Chu A, Salim A, Abdel-Qadir H, Marwick TH. JACC Adv. 2025; 4(10 Pt 2):102129. Epub 2025 Sep 12.
Background — Little is known about the association between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in people with established CVD. Knowing if COPD is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events would guide appropriate secondary prevention.
Objective — To examine the risk of COPD on major adverse cardiac events (MACEs, acute myocardial infarction, stroke and cardiovascular death) in a complete real-world population of a large province, with known CVD.
Methods — We conducted a retrospective population cohort study using health administration, medication, laboratory, electronic medical record and other data from Ontario, Canada. All people with a history of CVD with and without physician-diagnosed COPD as of 2008 were followed until 2016 and cardiac risk factors, sociodemographic factors, comorbidities and other factors were compared. Sequential cause-specific hazard models adjusting for these factors determined the risk of MACE in people with COPD.
Results — Of 496 056 individuals with CVD in Ontario on 1 January 2008, 69 161 (13.9%) had COPD. MACE occurred more frequently among those with CVD (45.3 per 1000 person-years) and COPD compared with those with CVD alone (28.6 per 1000 person-years) (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.21–1.26) after adjustment for cardiac risk factors, comorbidities, socioeconomic status and other factors. People with COPD were less likely to receive preventive CVD medications or see a cardiologist.
Conclusion — In a large, real-world population of people with established CVD, COPD was associated with a higher rate of cardiovascular events but a lower rate of preventive therapy. Strategies are needed to improve secondary CVD prevention in the COPD population.
Cho EE, Maclagan LC, Chu A, Croxford R, Sin DD, Udell JA, Lee D, Austin PC, Gershon AS. Thorax. 2025; Mar 3 [Epub ahead of print].
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