Healthcare utilization trends in adults with asthma or COPD during the first year of COVID-19 pandemic in comparison to pre-pandemic: a population-based study

Objectives — To assess how changes in outpatient services during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic were related to acute healthcare use (emergency department or hospitalizations) for individuals with asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

Methods — We conducted an observational study using health administrative data in Ontario (Canada) from January 2016 to March 2021 on all adults with diagnosed asthma or COPD. We used monthly time series auto-regressive integrated moving-average (ARIMA) and pre-pandemic monthly rates (January 2016 to February 2020) to calculate projected rates (i.e., a pandemic had not occurred) during the pandemic (March 2020 to March 2021), and Quasi-Poisson models with two-way interaction to estimate crude and adjusted rate ratios.

Results — In the first pandemic year, in individuals with asthma or COPD, outpatient visit rates started lower than projected (Mar-May 2020), returned to projected in the middle of the year (Jun-Aug 2020) and then rose to higher than projected between Sep 2020 and Mar 2021: observed rates of 80,293 per 100,000 persons vs. projected 74,192 (95% CI: 68,926-79,868) in individuals with asthma, and 92,651 vs. projected 85,871 (95% CI: 79,975-92,207) in individuals with COPD. Acute care rates remained below projected during the first pandemic year. While pulmonary function test (PFT) rates remained below projected during the first pandemic year, in both populations, a decrease in acute care visits during the pandemic, compared to pre-pandemic, was noted during months with the highest PFT rates (interaction p-values < 0.0001).

Conclusions — Despite asthma and COPD being ambulatory-care sensitive conditions, lower rates of outpatient visits during the beginning of the pandemic were not associated with increased rates of acute care use. Lower PFT rates were associated with higher acute care visit rates, suggesting that access to PFT during pandemic is likely important for individuals with asthma or COPD.