{"id":2010,"date":"2022-06-06T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-06T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icesontario.wpengine.com\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/"},"modified":"2023-06-14T19:38:55","modified_gmt":"2023-06-14T23:38:55","slug":"school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada","status":"publish","type":"journal_article","link":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools throughout early 2021 without any other opening of the economy, offering a unique natural experiment to estimate the impact of school reopening on community transmission. Estimated increases of 0.07, 0.08, 0.07, and 0.13 percentage points in community COVID-19 case growth rates occurred 11&#x2013;15, 16&#x2013;20, 21&#x2013;25, and 26&#x2013;30 days, respectively, after schools reopened. Although small, these changes were particularly evident among children younger than age fourteen, increased over time, and were greater when lag periods were considered, which points to a likely causal effect between in-person classes and a small increase in transmission. These findings suggest that although additional COVID-19 cases are to be expected after the reopening of schools, these risks may be manageable with sufficient, layered mitigation policies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools throughout early 2021 without any other opening of the economy, offering a unique natural experiment to estimate the impact of school reopening on community transmission. Estimated increases of 0.07, 0.08, 0.07, and 0.13 percentage [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","migration-helper-automated":[],"migration-manual":[],"topic":[],"migration-helper-qa-sample-set":[],"class_list":["post-2010","journal_article","type-journal_article","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"citation":"Fitzpatrick T, Wilton A, Cohen E, Rosella L, Guttmann A. <em>Health Aff<\/em>. 2022; 41(6):864-72. Epub 2022 Jun 6.","source_url":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1377\/hlthaff.2021.01676","ices_scientist":[1199,1238,1339,13131],"site":[6733],"research_program":[6745],"news_release":[7384],"journal_article":[],"atlas":[],"research_report":[],"infographic":[9268],"video":[],"downloads":null,"links":null,"sitecore_item_id":"BD926B33-06AE-455C-9880-5FC5A8381698","sitecore_item_name":"School-reopening-and-COVID-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment","sitecore_field_values":"{\n  \"Title\": \"School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada\",\n  \"Short title\": \"School reopening and COVID-19 in\",\n  \"Summary\": \"The study  findings suggest that although additional COVID-19 cases are to be expected after the reopening of schools, these risks may be manageable with sufficient, layered mitigation policies.\",\n  \"Citation\": \"<p>Fitzpatrick T, Wilton A, Cohen E, Rosella L, Guttmann A. <em>Health Aff<\/em>. 2022; 41(6):864-72. Epub 2022 Jun 6. DOI: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1377\/hlthaff.2021.01676\" title=\"opens external link\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1377\/hlthaff.2021.01676<\/a><\/p>\",\n  \"Abstract\": \"<p>In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools throughout early 2021 without any other opening of the economy, offering a unique natural experiment to estimate the impact of school reopening on community transmission. Estimated increases of 0.07, 0.08, 0.07, and 0.13 percentage points in community COVID-19 case growth rates occurred 11&ndash;15, 16&ndash;20, 21&ndash;25, and 26&ndash;30 days, respectively, after schools reopened. Although small, these changes were particularly evident among children younger than age fourteen, increased over time, and were greater when lag periods were considered, which points to a likely causal effect between in-person classes and a small increase in transmission. These findings suggest that although additional COVID-19 cases are to be expected after the reopening of schools, these risks may be manageable with sufficient, layered mitigation policies.<\/p>\",\n  \"Research Programs\": \"{91C9D48C-5B00-4FE5-9ABD-875AEA8F8FAE}\",\n  \"ICES Locations\": \"{4FCAABBA-14A5-42E6-8F33-BC6C2F1D9908}\",\n  \"ICES Scientists\": \"{146BBAFD-AD87-4D94-BCFF-79AB2D157CF9}|{DF9D6D4F-1B33-4FB9-AD9B-576798163C2C}|{430B2731-D3D6-4D57-9AF4-AA7626CF61B0}|{9896A0CF-1FD3-454E-B574-37CFAA5B2613}\",\n  \"Posted Date\": \"20220606T000000\",\n  \"Show on Publications Landing Page\": \"1\",\n  \"In The News\": \"{B32428D5-53CB-4763-871A-33E6A771487B}\"\n}","previous_url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/Publications\/Journal-Articles\/2022\/June\/School-reopening-and-COVID-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ICES | School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ICES | School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ICES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ICESOntario\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-14T23:38:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ic-es-data-discovery-better-health-logo.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/publications\\\/journal-articles\\\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/publications\\\/journal-articles\\\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\\\/\",\"name\":\"ICES | School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-06-06T04:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-14T23:38:55+00:00\",\"description\":\"In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/publications\\\/journal-articles\\\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/publications\\\/journal-articles\\\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/publications\\\/journal-articles\\\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Journal Articles\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/publications\\\/journal-articles\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/\",\"name\":\"ICES\",\"description\":\"POPULATION-BASED HEALTH RESEARCH THAT MAKES A DIFFERENCE\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"ICES\",\"alternateName\":\"Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/ices-logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/ices-logo.png\",\"width\":\"676\",\"height\":\"618\",\"caption\":\"ICES\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ices.on.ca\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/ICESOntario\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/ices-research-institute\\\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ICES | School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada","description":"In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"ICES | School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada","og_description":"In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools","og_url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/","og_site_name":"ICES","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ICESOntario\/","article_modified_time":"2023-06-14T23:38:55+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":675,"url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ic-es-data-discovery-better-health-logo.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/","url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/","name":"ICES | School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/#website"},"datePublished":"2022-06-06T04:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-14T23:38:55+00:00","description":"In December 2020, Ontario, Canada, entered a provincewide shutdown to mitigate COVID-19 transmission. A regionalized approach was taken to reopen schools","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/school-reopening-and-covid-19-in-the-community-evidence-from-a-natural-experiment-in-ontario-canada\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Journal Articles","item":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/publications\/journal-articles\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"School reopening and COVID-19 in the community: evidence from a natural experiment in Ontario, Canada"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/","name":"ICES","description":"POPULATION-BASED HEALTH RESEARCH THAT MAKES A DIFFERENCE","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/#organization"},"alternateName":"Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/#organization","name":"ICES","alternateName":"Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences","url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/ices-logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/ices-logo.png","width":"676","height":"618","caption":"ICES"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ICESOntario\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/ices-research-institute\/"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/journal_article\/2010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/journal_article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/journal_article"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/infographic\/9268"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news_release\/7384"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_program\/6745"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/site\/6733"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ices_scientist\/13131"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ices_scientist\/1339"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ices_scientist\/1238"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ices_scientist\/1199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"migration-helper-automated","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/migration-helper-automated?post=2010"},{"taxonomy":"migration-manual","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/migration-manual?post=2010"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=2010"},{"taxonomy":"migration-helper-qa-sample-set","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ices.on.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/migration-helper-qa-sample-set?post=2010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}